Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +21 (81-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Harris | 35 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| N. Sam-Grant | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| J. Atmore | 26 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| T. Totten | 24 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Taylor | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| T. Pyburn | 20 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. El Hassan | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Terry | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Christian | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| O. Amusa | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Tilley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Washington | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| P. Martin | 26 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| M. Wallace | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| P. Tennison | 21 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Ford | 19 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Mahan | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Williams | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Jones | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Tubbs | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Love | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Erickson | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Taylor | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Jackson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Heckert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter