Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.0% | 37.0% | -2.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Calip | 34 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 9 | ||
| S. Wilson | 33 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | ||
| A. Willard | 32 | 6-18 | -4 | - | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 | |
| A. Hipp | 27 | 1-6 | -1 | - | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| J. Franklin | 25 | 4-10 | - | 5-7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | ||
| M. Bhinhar | 21 | -4 | -1 | - | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||
| S. Manning | 8 | 1-2 | - | - | 2 | 0 | |||||
| E. Ruffridge | 7 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| E. Gartner | 7 | 2-5 | -1 | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | |||
| S. Ealy | 6 | -2 | -1 | - | 1 | -1 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Saylor | 38 | 4-5 | - | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | ||
| T. Maggett | 36 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 11-14 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 21 |
| L. Wallen | 34 | 6-10 | -2 | 6-10 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 11 | ||
| M. Crompton | 31 | 3-5 | 3-4 | - | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | |||
| J. Redmond | 25 | 3-7 | -1 | - | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -1 | ||
| M. Talbot | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | - | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | ||
| L. Koudelka | 12 | 2-3 | - | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 6 | ||||
| M. Sims | 4 | - | - | - | 0 | ||||||
| K. Newland | 4 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | |||||
| F. Corrigan | 0 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 |
* = starter