Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +13 (87-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Maggett | 38 | 5-18 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| L. Wallen | 38 | 9-19 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 11 | - |
| J. Redmond | 35 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| P. Saylor | 35 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Crompton | 32 | 6-12 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| L. Koudelka | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Talbot | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Call | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Kelle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Newland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Sims | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Calip | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| A. Hipp | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| S. Wilson | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Willard | 25 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Franklin | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | - |
| E. Ruffridge | 23 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Bhinhar | 18 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| E. Gartner | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Manning | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Ealy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter