Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.2% | 7.8% | -13.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -13 (68-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Willard | 32 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - |
| B. Calip | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 11-14 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| J. Franklin | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| M. Bhinhar | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Wilson | 19 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A. Hipp | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Manning | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Ealy | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| E. Ruffridge | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| E. Gartner | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Weinman | 34 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| G. Hales | 31 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| A. Stoller | 31 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| S. Frederick | 31 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Morrison | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| G. White | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Profitt | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Ellenson | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| I. Pitts | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Meredith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter