Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | -0.9 | ✗ (21.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +21 (76-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrison | 33 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| J. Settle | 32 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Taylor | 28 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| T. Addison | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Connors | 21 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Birkhead | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Lee | 17 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| K. Agentowicz | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Carrillo Ade | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Watkinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Watkinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mager | 34 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. DeCesare | 33 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Clasen | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| D. Davis-Stewart | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| A. Fursman | 28 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Thomas | 16 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| C. Wilson | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| D. Christian | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| E. Houle | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Gattuso | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Orlando | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter