Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Samz | 33 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Dis Agustsdottir | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| S. Freeman | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A. Rauch | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Clephane | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| O. Brown | 18 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | - |
| B. Smith | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Benson | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Puiggros | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Gamarra | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Black | 33 | 3-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| M. Santucci | 31 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Q. Lockett | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5 | - |
| T. Davis | 21 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| S. Wiard | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Rokkanen | 17 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| T. Beacham | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Morgan-Elliott | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Lance | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Barnes | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter