Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -9 (62-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wallace | 36 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Washington | 28 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| J. Ford | 28 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| P. Tennison | 24 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| S. Tubbs | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Jackson | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Love | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Mahan | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Taylor | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Williams | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ramos | 35 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| T. Kalmer | 35 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| T. Adams | 30 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| I. Hernandez | 26 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Terry | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Villa | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Z. Dornstauder | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Vanderdoes | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Perez | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| N. Ekwedike | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter