Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -9 (58-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ramos | 38 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| T. Kalmer | 38 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| T. Adams | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Vanderdoes | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Villa | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Z. Dornstauder | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Terry | 14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| I. Hernandez | 14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| K. Edwards | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Perez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Sireni | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. De La Cerda | 38 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| A. Hurst | 35 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| S. McGruder | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Anderson | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Robertson | 28 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| C. Carter | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Hosey | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter