Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +40.0 | ✓ (28.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +68 (111-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wallace | 40 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Williams | 30 | 0-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -9 | - |
| J. Washington | 29 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| P. Tennison | 25 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| P. Martin | 22 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| S. Taylor | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Tubbs | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Ford | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Jackson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Landrum | 33 | 14-24 | 14-23 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 35 | - |
| Q. Egbo | 27 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| T. Cooper | 26 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| N. Smith | 23 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| D. Richards | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| T. Oliver | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| M. Ursin | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Oliver | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| E. DeGrate | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
* = starter