Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +18 (80-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.