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2020-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars Alabama State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.7% 32.3% - โœ“
Margin 67.9% 32.1% -4.1 โœ“ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 73.2% 26.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 79.5% 20.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 79.9% 20.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.1% 40.9% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama State Hornets -12 (44-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ahsante Shivers * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 9 19 -
Amel Kuljuhovic * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 0 10 19 -
Micah Bradford * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 3 12 15 -
Lamarcus Lee * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 7 9 -
Darius Williams * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 0 9 -
Skyler Baggs 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 6 12 -
Brendon Brooks 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
Montese Blake 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Isaiah Rollins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Battle * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 0 2 8 19 -
L. Daniels * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 7 13 -
D.J. Heath * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 9 6 -
Decardo Day * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 2 -
Tobi Ewuosho * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 5 4 -
Jacoby Ross 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
AJ Farrar 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
Kevin Holston 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 13 16 -
Kevion Stewart 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 4 -
Tyrese Robinson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 0 5 -
Austin Rogers 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter