Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.0% | 26.0% | -8.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | -5.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +8 (107-99). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Ford * | 58 | 11-28 | 4-12 | 10-11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 11 | - |
| Tommy Kuhse * | 50 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Malik Fitts * | 39 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tanner Krebs * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Dan Fotu * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Alex Ducas | 27 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Bowen | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kristers Zoriks | 15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jock Perry | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Elijah Thomas | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Logan Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahlil Tripp * | 52 | 12-21 | 1-4 | 14-19 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 28 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins * | 52 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 13-14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Pierre Crockrell II * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Broc Finstuen * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A'mari McCray * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gary Chivichyan | 42 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Shaquillo Fritz | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Austin Vereen | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jahbril Price-Noel | 23 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| James Hampshire | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Jeremiah Bailey | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter