Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Gordon * | 39 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Nick Stampley * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Charles Norman * | 24 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Tahj Small * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Davion Thomas * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Khalyl Waters | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Jakevan Leftridge | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Desmond Williams | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tyrek Williams | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| KJ Simon | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lott * | 35 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| H. McGee * | 34 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | - |
| T. Mitchell * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Ajayi * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Locure * | 26 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Fox | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Pettway | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| KK Curry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Morris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter