Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Eaton * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Caleb Fields * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Matthews * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Canberk Kus * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Malik Brevard * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Melo Eggleston | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Christian Willis | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Antwon Jackson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radshad Davis * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 29 | - |
| Sam Griffin * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 26 | - |
| David Azore * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jabari Narcis * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Phillips * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Brian Warren | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Ayoub Nouhi | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tiandre Jackson-Young | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Coleman Sparling | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nicolas Elame | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Davis Steelman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter