Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 83.9% | 16.1% | -9.1 | ✗ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damon Wilson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Corey Allen * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Joe Jones * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Clerkley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Williams * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Darian Adams * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 19 | - |
| Nick Stampley * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Tahj Small * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Charles Norman * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ty Gordon | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 25 | - |
| KJ Simon | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 29 | - |
| N. Phillips | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Davion Thomas | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Khalyl Waters | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter