Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | -7.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.6% | 17.4% | -8.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks -1 (63-64). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nijal Pearson * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Mason Harrell * | 36 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Isiah Small * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Eric Terry * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shelby Adams * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Caleb Asberry | 25 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Alonzo Sule | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Quentin Scott | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Marlin Davis | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Drew Tennial | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ertel * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| JD Williams * | 37 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Tyree White * | 32 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Chris Efretuei * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Erie Olonade * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jalen Hodge | 29 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Youry White | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Elijah Ifejeh | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D'Andre Bernard | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Langston Powell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Josh Nicholas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter