Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rice Owls +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Malvar | 31 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Bailey | 30 | 9-18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 6 | - |
| K. Rasheed | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Schenck | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Orndoff | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| N. Radford | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Gary | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Carroll | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| B. Lehew | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Rohrer | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Rodabaugh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Ramesh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Richards | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ogwumike | 34 | 10-20 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 20 | - |
| S. Wiggins | 32 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Smith | 25 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Schwartz | 24 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| H. Swayze | 21 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| K. Ellig | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Jackson | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| A. Chrisman | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Crosthwait | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Alao | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Bellamy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. McCurry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter