Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Moore * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Roddy * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| I. Stevens * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| N. Carvacho * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| A. Thistlewood * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Martin | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Thomas | 13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| H. Edwards | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Tonje | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Flynn * | 37 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 35 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| K. Feagin * | 34 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Narain * | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Schakel | 24 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Pulliam | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Arop | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter