Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -17 (55-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Flynn * | 37 | 9-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| K. Feagin * | 35 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Schakel * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| T. Pulliam | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Seiko | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Arop | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Narain | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jessup * | 36 | 8-13 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Y. Wetzell * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| D. Alston Jr. * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| RJ Williams * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Kigab * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Dennis * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Dickinson | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Hobbs | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Jorch | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Rice | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter