Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.8% | 2.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.0% | 5.0% | -16.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -15 (74-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Feagin * | 36 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| M. Flynn * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| J. Schakel * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 26 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| T. Pulliam | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| N. Narain | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Seiko | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Arop | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Mensah | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Van Soelen | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| A.J. Walker | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Joyce * | 36 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| C. Morris * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| L. Scottie * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| S. Tomes * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Swan * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Akaya | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Brown | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter