Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | -4.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Flynn * | 38 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| K. Feagin * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Schakel * | 25 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| T. Pulliam | 27 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| N. Narain | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Seiko | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Mensah | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Mitrou-Long | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Donnie Tillman | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Vitaliy Shibel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Amauri Hardy * | 37 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Marvin Coleman * | 30 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Bryce Hamilton * | 29 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Nick Blair * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Diong * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jay Green | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jonah Antonio | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter