Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +18 (83-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Alston * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Justinian Jessup * | 32 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Player #4077221 * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 29 | - |
| Abu Kigab * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Rayj Dennis * | 21 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Robin Jorch * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| RJ Williams | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Alex Hobbs | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Max Rice | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Dickinson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Riley Abercrombie | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Barnett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Feagin * | 35 | 9-16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 11 | - |
| M. Flynn * | 33 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| J. Schakel * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Pulliam | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Seiko | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Narain | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Arop | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Giordano | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Mensah | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter