Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.4% | 1.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 93.7% | 6.3% | -14.8 | ✗ (33.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +19 (79-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Merrill * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| B. Miller * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| C. Morris * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Porter * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Bean * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| N. Queta * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| D. Brito | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| S. Bairstow | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Anderson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Dorius | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| R. Grootfaam | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Akaya | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Karwowski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Vander Zwaag | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter