Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.2% | 86.8% | +10.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Freeman-Liberty * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 39 | - |
| Donovan Clay * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eron Gordon | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Brown * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 28 | - |
| Trae Berhow * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| AJ Green * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 33 | - |
| Austin Phyfe * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Tywhon Pickford * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Spencer Haldeman | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Justin Dahl | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Antwan Kimmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Betz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Noah Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter