Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✓ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +29 (95-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiaih Mosley * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Keandre Cook * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Ja'Monta Black * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ford Cooper * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Gaige Prim * | 12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Josh Hall | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tulio Da Silva | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Ross Owens | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lamont West | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kabir Mohammed | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Green * | 37 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Trae Berhow * | 32 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Spencer Haldeman * | 32 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Brown * | 30 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Austin Phyfe * | 29 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Tywhon Pickford | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Antwan Kimmons | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Justin Dahl | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Noah Carter | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke McDonnell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Betz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lincoln Conrey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter