Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -10 (68-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Key * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 35 | - |
| Jordan Barnes * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jake Laravia * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Tre Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Christian Williams * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Cooper Neese | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Bronson Kessinger | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Cobie Barnes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaige Prim * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 32 | - |
| Tulio Da Silva * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Ja'Monta Black * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Keandre Cook * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Isiaih Mosley * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ross Owens | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Josh Hall | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Lamont West | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Ford Cooper | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kabir Mohammed | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter