Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Frye * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Turner * | 36 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| D. Plowden * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C. Fields * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| T. Mattos * | 13 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Kulackovskis | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Diggs | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Laster | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| M. Sierra | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Zeigler | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Swingle | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hardnett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Jordan * | 36 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Graves * | 34 | 11-21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 7 | - |
| J. Williams * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| A. Johnson * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Bertram * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| J. Mballa | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| R. Segu | 22 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| G. Grant | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
* = starter