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2020-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston University Terriers American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 59.1% 40.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% - โœ—
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 57.3% 42.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% - โœ“

Actual: American University Eagles +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston University Terriers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Walter Whyte * 34 4-9 0-2 4-5 7 0 0 0 1 12 9 -
Jonas Harper * 29 1-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 3 1 -
Fletcher Tynen 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
Ethan Brittain-Watts 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sa'eed Nelson * 37 6-14 0-3 3-6 10 9 2 0 2 15 20 -
J. McCoy * 34 6-11 1-3 4-6 3 4 2 0 5 17 10 -
A. Vilarino * 26 5-7 0-0 3-6 4 0 1 0 2 13 9 -
Stacy Beckton * 25 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 1 2 -
M. Mahoney * 19 2-6 0-0 1-4 5 3 1 0 1 5 7 -
Mark Gasperini * 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
Connor Nelson 24 3-9 3-8 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 9 4 -
Josh Alexander 20 2-3 0-0 0-1 8 1 1 1 0 4 12 -
A. Petcash 19 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 1 2 1 2 2 2 -
S. Mathon 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Ben Lubarsky 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Hemphill 5 0-4 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Yilret Yiljep 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Marvin Bragg 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter