Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Job Alexander * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Colby Rogers * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tuukka Jaakkola * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devearl Ramsey * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jaquori McLaughlin * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Brandon Cyrus * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Amadou Sow * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Robinson Idehen | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Touré | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
* = starter