Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Job Alexander * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | - |
| C. Hunter * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Colby Rogers * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tuukka Jaakkola * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cobb * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 31 | - |
| J. Griffin * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Romelle Mansel * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Colvin | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| J. Roberts | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Carter III | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 15 | - |
| M. de Geest | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter