Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuukka Jaakkola * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Colby Rogers | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Job Alexander | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Gomez * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Lamine Diane * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 34 | - |
| Darius Brown * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 31 | - |
| Elijah Harkless * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jared Pearre * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Festus Ndumanya | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Brendan Harrick | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Lance Coleman | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter