🐻⬇️🏀

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 75
@
Cal Poly Mustangs 79
2020-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 75.3% 24.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 73.7% 26.3% - ✗
Margin 70.2% 29.8% -4.7 ✗ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 72.4% 27.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 83.9% 16.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 84.0% 16.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 59.8% 40.2% - ✗

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Drew Buggs * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 3 1 0 3 19 31 -
Justin Webster * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 2 11 19 -
Eddie Stansberry * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 5 9 -
J. Smith * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 14 20 -
J. Ballard * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 15 22 -
Zigmars Raimo * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 1 0 2 7 18 -
Dawson Carper * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 2 1 20 34 -
M. Crowe * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 6 7 -
K. Smith * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 5 8 -
M. Harwell 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 0 0 4 13 -
Justin Hemsley 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 8 9 -
J. Alexander 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 4 7 -
Owen Hulland 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
K. Colvin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Taylor 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Mate Colina 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Zoar Nedd 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tuukka Jaakkola * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 3 0 12 22 -
Alimamy Koroma 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 7 6 -

* = starter