Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +16 (73-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Ballard | 28 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Smith | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Y. Wetzell * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Job Alexander * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Colby Rogers * | 23 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Tuukka Jaakkola * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Colvin | 24 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Keith Smith | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Malek Harwell | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colin McCarthy | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mark Crowe | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jared Rice | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Barnett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Flynn * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| K. Feagin * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Schakel * | 20 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Pulliam | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Seiko | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Mensah | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Giordano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter