Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.3% | 7.7% | -18.4 | ✗ (22.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | -6.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +4 (70-66). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Pickett * | 40 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Manny Camper * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Elijah Burns * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Donald Carey * | 27 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Matt Hein * | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Gary Harris Jr. | 28 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jordan King | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Sammy Friday | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jimmy Ratliff | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malek Harwell * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Smith * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Junior Ballard * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Tuukka Jaakkola * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kyle Colvin * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Colby Rogers | 26 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Job Alexander | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Mark Crowe | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter