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Cal Poly Mustangs 48
@
Saint Mary's Gaels 79
2019-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Saint Mary's Gaels Spread Result
Elo 4.0% 96.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 5.8% 94.2% - ✓
Margin 1.0% 99.0% +25.5 ✓ (5.5 off)

Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +31 (79-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith 24 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Ballard 19 0-10 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 -8 -
K. Smith * 29 1-4 0-0 1-2 8 2 3 0 1 3 11 -
K. Colvin * 28 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 2 -3 -
T. Jaakkola * 25 6-9 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 13 8 -
C. Rogers 22 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -4 -
A. Koroma 21 3-4 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 1 2 7 4 -
M. Crowe 13 3-3 2-2 0-2 1 2 1 0 1 8 8 -
J. Alexander 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
J. Rice 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. McCarthy 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Kuhse 26 2-3 0-0 4-4 3 6 2 0 2 8 14 -
J. Ford 26 8-14 2-5 3-4 2 1 1 0 2 21 9 -
T. Krebs 20 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
M. Tass 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 1 0 6 12 -
D. Fotu 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
E. Thomas 6 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Fitts * 22 4-9 2-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 12 4 -
L. Johnson * 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Ducas 17 2-2 2-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 8 10 -
K. Bowen 16 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
K. Zoriks 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
A. Menzies 10 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
D. Sheets 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter