Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | North Dakota State Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | +24.3 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Dakota State Bison +7 (74-67). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuukka Jaakkola * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Colby Rogers | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Job Alexander | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Shahid * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Sam Griesel * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Tyson Ward * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Rocky Kreuser * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jared Samuelson * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyree Eady | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Cameron Hunter | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Chris Quayle | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Witz | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Maleeck Harden-Hayes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter