Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.4% | 14.6% | -9.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jones | 34 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| K. Crutchfield | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| E. Cunane | 30 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| A. Konig | 28 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Brown-Turner | 25 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| G. Hunter | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Ealey | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Cassell | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Boyd | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jablonowski | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| A. Toi | 32 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| J. Willoughby | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C. Miller | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Kornegay-Lucas | 26 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| D. Toussaint | 25 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -7 | - |
| S. Williams | 13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Lawson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter