Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +8 (63-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Willoughby | 37 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| L. Jablonowski | 31 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Williams | 28 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Toussaint | 24 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Kornegay-Lucas | 23 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Toi | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Miller | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Lawson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Stojsavljevic | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Gillespie | 37 | 9-18 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| N. Ekhomu | 36 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| N. Woolfolk | 35 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -4 | - |
| K. Weber | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Jones | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| V. Myers | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. Baldwin | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Brown | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter