Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Willoughby | 40 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| D. Toussaint | 32 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -8 | - |
| L. Jablonowski | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Lawson | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| S. Williams | 22 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| C. Miller | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Kornegay-Lucas | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Toi | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Evans | 35 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| E. Balogun | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| B. Dunham | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Shook | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Y. Diop | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Robinson | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Jones | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| L. Dixon | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Duvall | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter