Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +6 (55-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Cooper-Williams | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Green | 36 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Smalls | 26 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Benitez | 26 | 2-16 | 0-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -5 | - |
| D. Merritt | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Barrier | 18 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Jefferson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Oppenheimer | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Carodine | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Bellerand | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Tucker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jablonowski | 39 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J. Willoughby | 39 | 9-19 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 23 | - |
| C. Miller | 35 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Toussaint | 30 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| A. Toi | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Kornegay-Lucas | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Horton | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. Lawson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter