Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Jackson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 35 | - |
| Brandon Horvath * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| RJ Eytle-Rock * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| L.J. Owens * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Akin * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Keondre Kennedy | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Dimitrije Spasojevic | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jack Schwietz | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Nathan Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Council II | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Lester * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Josh Hopkins * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Marque Maultsby * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Mark Carbone | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jayden Martinez | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
* = starter