Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +26 (89-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Thompson * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Kylor Kelley * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Zach Reichle * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tres Tinkle * | 24 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Alfred Hollins * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jarod Lucas | 29 | 5-13 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Roman Silva | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sean Miller-Moore | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Antoine Vernon | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Gianni Hunt | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Payton Dastrup | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dearon Tucker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Nnaji | 31 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Josh Green * | 37 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Nico Mannion * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Stone Gettings * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Smith * | 16 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Max Hazzard | 19 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jemarl Baker | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ira Lee | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Weyand | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kory Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter