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2020-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 3.5% 96.5% -
Bradley-Terry 14.6% 85.4% -
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 22.8% 77.2% -
Efficiency 5.7% 94.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.0% 92.0% -
Log Adjusted 7.8% 92.2% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +26 (89-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Thompson * 35 5-12 1-3 0-2 4 7 0 0 7 11 3 -
K. Kelley * 27 5-7 0-0 4-4 8 0 1 5 3 14 18 -
Z. Reichle * 25 0-2 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 2 4 -
T. Tinkle * 24 3-11 1-3 3-3 3 1 0 0 2 10 1 -
A. Hollins * 16 2-5 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 4 3 -
J. Lucas 29 5-13 4-12 4-4 3 1 1 0 0 18 10 -
R. Silva 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Miller-Moore 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
A. Vernon 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
G. Hunt 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
P. Dastrup 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Tucker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Nnaji 31 4-10 1-1 4-4 7 0 1 1 1 13 11 -
J. Green * 37 7-11 2-3 2-2 4 6 4 1 2 18 20 -
N. Mannion * 34 5-13 2-5 4-6 4 6 0 0 1 16 12 -
S. Gettings * 27 2-7 1-2 4-6 5 2 0 0 0 9 9 -
D. Smith * 16 1-7 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 5 1 -
M. Hazzard 19 4-7 3-6 4-4 4 0 1 0 2 15 11 -
J. Baker 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
C. Koloko 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 3 0 5 6 -
C. Jeter 6 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
I. Lee 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Weyand 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter