Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -10 (72-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Harris | 28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Michael Littlejohn * | 30 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Jy'lan Washington * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Carlos Marshall * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Shakem Johnson * | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Mark Freeman | 25 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jon Brown | 25 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Ben Kone | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Emmanuel Egbuta | 10 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ravel Moody | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuukka Jaakkola * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Junior Ballard * | 27 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Malek Harwell * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Kyle Colvin * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Keith Smith * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jamal Smith | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Colby Rogers | 22 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Mark Crowe | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Job Alexander | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter