Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Rhode Island Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.8% | 25.2% | -8.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.2% | 22.8% | -6.7 | ✓ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rhode Island Rams -27 (57-84). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Crutcher * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Trey Landers * | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Rodney Chatman * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Obi Toppin * | 23 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell * | 17 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ibi Watson | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Dwayne Cohill | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordy Tshimanga | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jhery Matos | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Christian Wilson | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Camron Greer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Rhode Island Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Dowtin * | 39 | 5-14 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tyrese Martin * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Fatts Russell * | 36 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Cyril Langevine * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine Harris * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jacob Toppin | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mekhi Long | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Antwan Walker | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eric Dadika | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter