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2020-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% -
Bradley-Terry 65.4% 34.6% -
Margin 65.5% 34.5% -3.5 (3.5 off)

Actual: George Mason Patriots -7 (55-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crutcher * 38 5-11 1-4 2-4 4 3 1 0 3 13 7 -
O. Toppin * 36 6-12 0-2 7-9 7 1 1 0 2 19 14 -
T. Landers * 36 3-7 0-2 0-3 8 1 1 1 1 6 9 -
R. Mikesell * 30 2-6 0-2 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
R. Chatman * 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 7 3 -
I. Watson 23 4-7 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 9 3 -
D. Cohill 13 2-2 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Tshimanga 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
X. Johnson * 37 2-8 0-3 1-2 4 3 2 0 3 5 3 -
J. Miller * 34 6-17 1-6 0-0 10 2 0 0 1 13 7 -
A.J. Wilson * 32 7-14 1-3 3-6 5 0 0 1 1 18 9 -
J. Greene * 22 3-5 1-2 1-1 6 1 1 0 2 8 9 -
J. Oduro * 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 2 3 -
J. Hartwell II 32 2-8 0-4 3-4 1 1 0 0 1 7 0 -
G. Calixte 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
G. Mar 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter