Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✓ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +31 (78-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Robbins | 16 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Roman Penn * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Wilkins * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Anthony Murphy * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Noah Thomas * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Sturtz | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Joseph Yesufu | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jonah Jackson | 17 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Antonio Pilipovic | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Brady Ernst | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camron Greer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 29 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Obi Toppin * | 29 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Trey Landers * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Rodney Chatman * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Ibi Watson | 23 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Jordy Tshimanga | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jhery Matos | 13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dwayne Cohill | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Wilson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter