Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.2% | 22.8% | -6.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulsa Golden Hurricane +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.