Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dru Smith * | 40 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Mark Smith * | 34 | 2-11 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jeremiah Tilmon * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Javon Pickett * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kobe Brown * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Pinson | 26 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Reed Nikko | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tray Jackson | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Torrence Watson | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mitchell Smith | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mario McKinney | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Scruggs * | 40 | 5-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jason Carter * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Quentin Goodin * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 36 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Tyrique Jones * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Bryce Moore | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Zach Freemantle | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dahmir Bishop | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter