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2020-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% -
Bradley-Terry 35.5% 64.5% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% -
Efficiency 26.5% 73.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% -
Log Adjusted 56.8% 43.2% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +11 (60-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jar. Cumberland * 38 6-14 3-6 4-6 4 2 0 1 6 19 6 -
T. Scott * 35 2-13 0-2 0-2 7 1 3 1 3 4 0 -
C. Vogt * 34 4-9 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 2 9 7 -
K. Williams * 32 4-14 2-3 2-2 8 2 1 1 0 12 10 -
M. Adams-Woods * 20 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 2 1 -
J. Cumberland 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -
C. McNeal 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 0 6 -
J. Sorolla 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
M. Diarra 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Jeffries 33 6-13 4-10 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 18 11 -
L. Quinones 22 3-3 3-3 4-4 2 0 1 0 1 13 12 -
T. Harris 16 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
D. Baugh 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
I. Maurice 11 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 5 1 -
B. Ellis 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Thomas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
P. Achiuwa * 33 5-11 0-1 2-2 11 2 1 2 3 12 14 -
M. Dandridge * 27 1-2 0-0 1-4 7 4 4 3 2 3 17 -
A. Lomax * 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 5 1 0 5 4 2 -
J. Hardaway 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter